Pharmacy chains activity analysis

Pharmacy chains activity analysis

Russian pharmaceuticals retail chain segment evaluation, both on the level of the state and in particular regions. Pharmacy chains development forecast

Forecasting

Product sales and separate market development forecast, based on unique mathematical models

Business and marketing plan development

Development of detailed business-plans, required to evaluate the reasonability of project start

Search of partners for contract production in Russia

Potential partners search and evaluation, based on their technical opportunities, appropriate experience, and reputation

Monitoring of import substitution

assessment of the main trends of import substitution policies and localization processes in the pharmaceutical market in Russia, the key beneficiaries and companies at risk

Pharmaceutical Drug Production in Russia (October 2021)

Thursday, November 25, 2021

From January to October 2021, Russian manufacturers produced RUB 489.1 billion worth of pharmaceutical drugs (manufacturer’s prices, VAT included), down 21.2% from the same period in 2020. In physical terms, the growth rate was –16.8% due to the so-called “high base effect”, essentially meaning that large volumes of drugs used for the treatment of coronavirus were produced last year. The total production volume in January–October 2021 was 3.34 billion packages, or 61.1 billion minimum dosage units (MDU). Notably, the growth rate is higher if calculated in MDUs compared to packages, albeit still negative, –6.3%.

In October 2021, the growth rates were still different in monetary and physical terms. The production volume was RUB 56.5 billion in monetary terms, up 30% from the same period last year. In physical terms, the growth rates were –23.6% in packages and –10.5% in MDUs.

In January–October 2021, the growth rates were -11.1% for the Rx drug production and –22% for the OTC drug production. If calculated in MDUs, the growth rates are –4.3% for Rx and 8.6% for OTC. That has been the trend for quite some time, although the growth rates for both categories were not far behind each other in October 2021.

Apart from the ten-fold growth rates of Medgamal, a branch of the Gamaleya Research Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology, Velpharm still has the highest growth rates of +78% in physical terms among the top 25 manufacturers of prescription drugs. The company has added another 11 brand names to its product line over the past year. The production of Azythromycin (increased 13.5 times), Diclofenac (17.8 times), and Lidocaine (6.3 times) contributed to the growth rates the most. Outside the top 25, Ruzpharma has impressive growth rates—its production increased 6.2 times against the previous year. The company, which is also a veterinary manufacturer, was producing only three pharmaceutical drugs in January–October 2021, with third generation cephalosporins Cefotaxime and Ceftriaxone contributing to the growth rates—the manufacture grew 13.2 and 7.9 times against 2020, respectively.

As for OTC drug producers, Abbott and Valenta had the best growth rates of +25% and +24%, respectively. The production of Abbott’s Motilak had the highest increase (3.8 times), along with Xilen (+14%). Kreon and Duphalac, which were not manufactured in the comparison period, also contributed to the growth rates. Valenta was able to maintain its high growth rates thanks to the production of Trimedat (grew 2.4 times) and Grammidin (2.1 times). Outside the top 25, Menarini Group managed to increase its production 7.2 times. The production of the company’s two OTC drugs is localized, and the growth rates of both are many-fold—12.7 times for Prostamol and 7 times for Mezym. However, that is more likely the result of a relatively small production volume in January–October 2020, rather than increased localization activity.

Volumes of pharmaceutical drug production in Russia, including production of pharmaceuticals of foreign companies on owned or contract plants, in physical (packages) and monetary terms (RUB, VAT included) (January 2020–October 2021)